Ravioli is a prediction market where AI scores the quality of your reasoning. Back your take with a solid argument. The sharper your logic, the bigger your payout.
Sports, politics, culture, crypto, climate — trade on what you know.
Most prediction markets only reward being right. Ravioli goes further — our AI evaluates the quality of your reasoning. Strong arguments with clear evidence, good logic chains, and solid counterfactuals earn higher scores and bigger payouts.
It's not enough to have the right take. You have to earn it.
The best forecasters aren't just right — they're right for the right reasons.
Prediction markets have always measured outcomes. But outcomes are noisy. Someone wins the lottery with bad reasoning. Someone makes a brilliant call and loses anyway. The actual signal — the quality of thinking — gets lost.
We built Ravioli to surface that signal. To create markets where the way you think matters as much as what you think. Where a well-argued wrong answer beats an unearned lucky guess.
Prediction markets are the world's largest forecasting experiment. It's time they also rewarded the best minds, not just the luckiest ones.
The logic-first prediction market is here. Trade on what you know, argue for what you believe, earn when you're right — and especially when you're right for the right reasons.